Harmonic Mean of LTD10


In the Excel spreadsheet, an LTD10 value is reported for a chemical in each species with a positive evaluation of carcinogenicity by the author of at least one experiment. If there is only one positive test on the chemical in the species, then the most potent LTD10 value from that test is reported. When more than one experiment is positive, in order to use all the available data, the reported LTD10 value is a harmonic mean of the most potent LTD10 values from target sites in each positive experiment.

harmonic mean formula

To obtain the harmonic mean, the lowest LTD10 value from each positive experiment is selected from among positively evaluated target sites with a statistically significant dose response (two-tailed p<0.1). If no positive sites have a significant dose response, then the most potent (lowest LTD10) is selected from among positively evaluated sites with p≥0.1. If some experiments in a species have a positive evaluation and statistically significant results while others have only positive evaluations but statistically non-significant results (p≥0.1), the non-significant experimental results are not used in the calculation of the harmonic mean.

Forty-four chemicals had an experiment for which no LTD10 could be estimated because all dosed animals had the tumor of interest, and only summary data on tumor incidence were available. For these cases the 99% upper confidence limit of LTD10 is used in the harmonic mean as a replacement for the LTD10. These cases are marked in the table with a “P” superscript. For 9 of these chemicals, all animals had tumors at the target site in all positive experiments. The 99% upper confidence limit replaces a harmonic mean in these cases, and the reported value is marked with a “<” symbol to indicate that any LTD10 value would be lower.


References

  1. Gold, L.S., Slone, T.H., and Bernstein, L. Summary of carcinogenic potency (TD50) and positivity for 492 rodent carcinogens in the Carcinogenic Potency Database. Environ. Health Perspect. 79: 259-272 (1989). abstractAbstract Full textText
  2. Gold, L.S., Slone, T.H., and Ames, B.N. Overview of analyses of the Carcinogenic Potency Database. In: Gold, L.S., and Zeiger, E., Eds. Handbook of Carcinogenic Potency and Genotoxicity Databases. Boca Raton, FL: CRC Press, 1997, pp. 661-685.
  3. Gold, L. S., Slone, T. H., and Ames, B. N. What do animal cancer tests tell us about human cancer risk? Overview of analyses of the Carcinogenic Potency Database. Drug Metabolism Reviews 30: 359-404 (1998). abstractAbstract PDF

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Last updated: August 6, 2007